Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.083976e+00 1.347703 1.638672 1.980561 2.368344 2.791715 3.286049
2025-06-08 7.088081e-01 1.047056 1.461605 1.993618 2.645030 3.404167 4.343016
2025-06-15 5.128201e-01 0.895146 1.411174 2.124671 3.052654 4.187938 5.650464
2025-06-22 3.630533e-01 0.755573 1.338914 2.203075 3.387793 4.897031 6.906061
2025-06-29 2.500151e-01 0.629919 1.253101 2.238970 3.656370 5.526545 8.085603
2025-07-06 1.588137e-01 0.502500 1.131858 2.197448 3.802663 5.992169 9.065144
2025-07-13 1.064179e-01 0.423847 1.068372 2.226165 4.039229 6.579150 10.215621
2025-07-20 6.919844e-02 0.356983 1.007487 2.244940 4.253738 7.136447 11.337003
2025-07-27 3.912257e-02 0.284350 0.914893 2.193502 4.350372 7.523924 12.231964
2025-08-03 2.039262e-02 0.225718 0.832660 2.144485 4.440050 7.897035 13.110124
2025-08-10 1.092286e-02 0.189205 0.788467 2.156267 4.622931 8.407346 14.188269
2025-08-17 4.227938e-03 0.147507 0.715963 2.100861 4.686259 8.736583 15.012600
2025-08-24 2.191364e-03 0.134439 0.718841 2.200254 5.022712 9.498062 16.489300
2025-08-31 5.918101e-04 0.110402 0.680066 2.207036 5.198212 10.018426 17.630133
2025-09-07 2.369829e-04 0.105174 0.700318 2.343532 5.608911 10.914489 19.338388
2025-09-14 3.474139e-05 0.094216 0.696588 2.425275 5.924013 11.668175 20.850949
2025-09-21 1.103269e-11 0.080172 0.674983 2.462520 6.158298 12.298805 22.191822
2025-09-28 NaN 0.061289 0.622230 2.417638 6.235875 12.679155 23.164507
2025-10-05 NaN 0.051203 0.601765 2.448001 6.454464 13.289794 24.491214
2025-10-12 NaN 0.041980 0.578775 2.467885 6.651811 13.868118 25.775838
2025-10-19 NaN 0.030335 0.530456 2.412911 6.698371 14.197570 26.685123
2025-10-26 NaN 0.021348 0.486243 2.360536 6.744666 14.524807 27.593567
2025-11-02 NaN 0.016556 0.466128 2.373098 6.921256 15.072816 28.849333